Despegue ← San Juan OPPORTUNITY
13 more opportunitiesOther opportunities ▾
ESEN Where my company can get in
San Juan · Mining cordillera · road works and earthmoving
Four roads to build and only 63 kilometres awarded: the filter is no longer price, it is having worked at altitudethesis

High-mountain road works and earthmoving (San Juan)

Estimated entry range for a supplier
USD 20-50 M/year
in 2-3 years
Estimated market: USD 300-400 M/yr at the 2027-2029 peak
up to date · reviewed Oct 6, 2026
estim Jul 19, 2026urgent demandour reading
At a glance
Who buys
The operator, directly
the 2 doors →
In which projects
Gualcamayo, Los Azules, Leaching Phases 8 and 9 expansion and 1 more · and 1 more not yet approved
what each one invests →
When
Open now and in batches. Segment A was awarded on 11 September 2026; segments B, C and D have been under tender since January with no awardee, and E and F were left vacant in April, with no new tender announced. thesis
what to watch and where it stands →
The main barrier
Proven capacity at altitude: sections E and F of the Northern Corridor run above 3,500 metres. Since the operator removed the joint venture that held them in April 2026, the route that has worked for getting in is partnering with a national builder. thesis
the whole entry map →
Where you get in
Don't go after the pre-stripping or the package the firm managing the works assembles: that stays on the operator's side. Come in where the filter is no longer price but having worked at altitude, which is what is scarce:
the 4 routes →

There is more road than there are contractors, and now there is proof. The project's technical study lists four roads, not one: the upgrade of the current access from Guandacol, in La Rioja —220 kilometres of gravel that climb 3,500 metres to a pass at 4,500 with gradients of more than 20 %—, the 220 new kilometres of the Northern Corridor from Angualasto, the interconnection road between the two deposits —31 kilometres, 9.5 metres wide, which also carry the water pipeline and the communications cable, and come after the first stage— and the high-mountain road to Chile. Of that corridor, as of 14 September 2026, only 63.6 kilometres are awarded: on 11 September the operator gave segment A to a joint venture with a San Juan company inside, put together at its own business rounds. Segments B, C and D —some 107 kilometres— have been under tender since January and have no published awardee, and segments E and F were left vacant in April 2026, when the operator removed from the works the joint venture that had won them a year earlier. The filter is no longer price: it is having worked at altitude.

Window: high-altitude access is built once and then it is finished; what remains afterwards is the maintenance. The works peak is 2027-2029, and as of 14 September 2026 only 63.6 of the corridor's 220 kilometres are awarded.

verif primary sourceestim our own calculationthesis our readingHow to read all five →

What the market is made of

The TAM is activity, not capturable spoils. Pre-stripping is done by the operator with its own fleet and the firm that manages the works bundles part of the earthworks towards its global panel: that is captive. Your real gap is the access road works, the platforms and the gold leach phases, where the San Juan precedent is unanimous —no global player has won a road—: the addressable segment.

How it splits, and against which total
Midpoint of the captive/addressable split over the peak TAM ~USD 350 M/year (2027-2029). Our own estimate. estim
CaptiveUSD 105 M · 30%
Addressable (SAM)USD 245 M · 70%
CaptiveUSD 105 M30%non-addressable
pre-stripping with the operator's own fleet, plus the package that the firm managing the works assembles together with the plant and takes to its panel of global contractors
Addressable (SAM)USD 245 M70%addressable
all the access road works, the platforms and camps, the gold leach phases and recurring maintenance
Non-addressable

~25-35% (USD 80-150 M/yr at peak): pre-stripping and mine movement with the operator's own fleet (part of the USD 1.0 B 'Mine' line in the ITS), packages that the firm managing the works bundles with the plant towards its global panel, and the residual risk of an integrated foreign contractor (less likely in roads than in camps: the work demands people and equipment acclimatised on site)

Addressable share

~65-75% (USD 200-300 M/year at peak), addressable by a local/national contractor: all access road works (unanimous precedents of local and national contractors: no global player ever won a road), platforms/camps, gold leach phases and recurring maintenance. The 60%-procurement Law + RE.PRO.MIN enlarge the local SAM, BUT with the 'competitive market terms' escape valve: the legal SAM is not real SAM without capability

Entry range for a supplier

USD 20-50 M/yr capturable by ONE new entrant in 2-3 years: a typical package (new tender for segments E-F or 1-2 A-D segments, USD 30-80 M over 16-24 months) + a recurring maintenance contract that annualises it; scalable to 50-100 M/yr towards Pachón (2029+) with proven execution

▸ Leverage, not a guarantee — demand is chained: whoever executes one segment well inherits an edge on the next. ⚠️ And three limits in the data, stated head-on. (1) The operator does not publish contract amounts: not Segment A's, not the vacant segments', not the maintenance one. Segment A's was published by the press on 18 September 2026, without citing the document: USD 135,012,246 over 27 months prob. So the reference price for this line of business comes from the press, not from the buyer. (2) The corridor figure went from «more than 170 kilometres» in January to «220» in September without anyone explaining the jump. (3) The provincial bond has already been placed, for USD 600 million verif, and it already has a named work announced: the Ruta Nacional 20 motorway to Caucete verif. But that work has no published amount or tender, and which other works the bond pays for, and in what order, is not yet in any source we have read. Ruta 40 Norte is paid by another fund —the Vicuña agreement— and the government confirmed it by press release, without the deed listing the works prob.

Who really pays?

The obvious name —“the mine”— is not a single door. In high-altitude mine construction the money comes in through different channels, and knowing which one is yours is the first step:

If you sellAccess road works (Vicuña's Northern Corridor, the Los Azules road)
→
The operator, directly prob Sep 11, 2026 ↗

Vicuña tenders and awards the road works directly, not through the firm that manages the works: on 11 September 2026 it awarded Segment A to a joint venture with a San Juan company inside, and earlier it had contracted the Semisa-Terusi joint venture, which it removed in April. Los Azules started its pioneer road in June 2026 and places the definitive road in 2027, with no published kilometres.

If you sellOn-site earthworks (platforms, heap leach)
→
The firm that manages the works, when it bundles the road works with the plant verif Oct 7, 2025 ↗

The Los Azules feasibility study budgets USD 331.6 million for the heap leach verif. How much of that earthmoving goes into the package that the firm managing the works assembles with the plant, and how much the operator tenders separately, is our own reading thesis.

▸
The lesson: the road is not paid by an integrated main contractor but by the operator, which tenders directly — that is why the precedent is unanimous, no global player has won a road in San Juan. For the plant earthworks, by contrast, the door is the firm that manages the works.

Which projects move this demand

USD 9,700 M Jun 16, 2026 ↗

The largest mining project in Argentine history by announced investment, and, according to the operator…

see the project →
USD 2,672 M Oct 14, 2025 ↗

Leach-based copper cathode project in Calingasta (San Juan). Company/press figures (probable, outside the resolution)…

see the project →
USD 9,500 M Aug 18, 2025 ↗

Phase 1 of one of Argentina's two largest undeveloped copper deposits, alongside Vicuña: a resource declared by Glencore of ~6,000 Mt @ 0.43% Cu, 2.2 g/t Ag and 130 g/t Mo…

see the project →

Engineering, construction, operation and maintenance of new leach pads (phases 8 and 9) at Veladero Mine, to sustain gold production and exports…

see the project →

Reactivation and deepening of the Gualcamayo gold and silver mine (San Juan): the 'Deep Carbonates (DCP)' project extends the mine life toward the sulfide orebody at depth…

see the project →

When the window opens

The cordillera's road works are split into segments and each award says who inherited the edge for the next one. And there are more works than were being counted. The technical report lists four roads: the upgrade of the current access from Guandacol, in La Rioja —with changes at the pass to ease gradients, realignment of stretches, relocation of power lines and a bypass around the town the road goes through today—; the 220 new kilometres of the Corredor Norte from Angualasto; the interconnection road between the two deposits, 31 kilometres with a minimum width of 9.5 metres, which also carries the water pipe and the communications cable and comes after the first stage; and the high-mountain one to Chile, which is a stage 3 work. The status as of 14 September 2026: Segment A awarded on 11 September (63.6 km, with a 100-metre bridge over the Río Blanco; the provincial press speaks of some 300 jobs for 24 months of works prob Tiempo de San Juan, 11-Sep-2026 and another article, of 18 September, of a contract of USD 135,012,246 over 27 months prob EconoJournal; the operator's release gives neither term nor amount), segments B, C and D out to tender since January and with no published awardee (some 107 km) and segments E and F vacant since April, with no new tender announced. To that add the Los Azules access road, which as of 14 September 2026 was in early works and whose full construction hangs on an investment decision set for mid-2027, and the provincial infrastructure plan, whose USD 600 million bond has already been placed, on 24 September 2026 according to the press, and already has an announced work: the 24.5-kilometre motorway on Ruta Nacional 20 to Caucete, not yet tendered. ⚠️ And one condition that depends on nobody: part of the northern access road, on the route of the 2020 study, falls inside the buffer zone of the San Guillermo Provincial Reserve, where activities require environmental supervision and may require prior approval. The four numbers below say how much is left and who is going to pay.

What to watchWhat changes when it happensStatus
The corridor kilometres awarded against those still missing
It says how much is left of the biggest check in the province, and with what degree of urgency.
as of 14 September 2026, of some 220 kilometres there are 63.6 awarded (Segment A, on 11 September).
See the evidence
some 107 under tender since January with no published awardee (segments B, C and D) and some 50 vacant since April (segments E and F), with no new tender announced; according to the press, the Segment A contract is for USD 135,012,246 over 27 months prob
prob Sep 11, 2026 ↗
How many San Juan companies get in, and how
It is the thermometer of whether local content moves anything, and it shows the concrete mechanism that worked.
the maintenance tender reserved for San Juan companies drew six bidders and was won by a local firm, in June 2025 prob .
See the evidence
and Segment A was won in September 2026 by a joint venture of two national builders with a San Juan firm, put together at the operator's own business rounds
prob Sep 11, 2026 ↗
What the provincial bond, already placed, pays for
It is the other buyer, and it is different: it tenders through public tender documents instead of by invitation. The named work it announced with that money is a road, but on the plain of Greater San Juan and not in the cordillera.
USD 600 million placed verif Gobierno de San Juan.
See the evidence
the law earmarks it exclusively for public investment, infrastructure works and capital spending, and authorises pledging federal revenue-sharing as collateral verif provincial public-credit law, articles 2 and 4. According to the press, it was placed on 24 September 2026, maturing in 2035, with a 9.55 % coupon and bids for USD 1,037 million prob ; that it is under New York law is stated by the government itself verif Gobierno de San Juan. On 6 October 2026 the governor announced a named work to be paid for with the bond: the 24.5-kilometre motorway on Ruta Nacional 20, from calle Gorriti to the Caucete access, with two carriageways, bridges (a new one of some 206 metres over the San Juan river), service roads, lighting and 36 months of works verif Gobierno de San Juan. It has no published amount or tender: the next thing to watch is that call
prob Oct 6, 2026 ↗
The state of the corridor in the season
It decides how many months a year work is possible up there, which is what turns a works deadline into a real one.
as of 14 September 2026, with El Niño settled in, a private meteorology company warns that road-opening schedules «are very difficult to keep to», with the period of greatest risk from the start of November because of snowmelt and storms prob Sep 14, 2026 ↗
The national road sections the province now manages
The buyer of works and maintenance on those sections becomes the province, which tenders through public tender documents: a new and closer purchase for a San Juan construction firm or road supplier.
Ley 2837-A, published on 27-Aug-2026, approves the agreement of 10-Aug-2026 with Vialidad Nacional: the province takes over the works, upkeep and full maintenance of sections of national roads.
See the evidence
The law does not say which ones; the sections are in the agreement, which was not published with it
verif Aug 27, 2026 ↗
What signals the game has changed
Delay of Vicuña's final investment decision

Final decision the company places «as early as the end of 2026»; without a final investment decision, segments A-D and the on-site peak (~60% of the TAM estim) slip. The approved RIGI (Resolución 1154/2026, BO 30-Jul-2026) reduces the risk but does not remove it. It is the nearest killer

A drop in the copper price

2027-2029: copper below the studies' base-case price re-sequences Los Azules (19.8% IRR verif release of the Los Azules feasibility study, Oct-2025) and above all El Pachón (no approved RIGI and no environmental report filed: the company aims to file it in the first half of 2027), the shakiest leg.

See the evidence
Vicuña Stage 1 is robust. Shrinks the TAM by ~30-40% estim
Water/glacier conflict → litigation over the road

Recurring across the whole window. Real precedent: in Apr-2026 the Chilecito judge ordered by summary injunction (case file 45863) a 30-day suspension of Vicuña's activities and a block on transit through La Rioja territory.

See the evidence
the block was enforced, but operations continued via the alternative Iglesia route prob . Josemaría DIA approved (Mar-2026) and the press reports that an INA-CRAS researcher objected to the sufficiency of the hydrogeological data unconf the opinion is not public and we could not locate the named article and 'Jáchal No Se Toca' is still active: an amparo can stop the construction front, not just the mine
PowerChina-style import

2026-2028: a foreign contractor with its own road-building arm would capture whole packages; the camp (USD 52 M vs 70 M prob three outlets converging on the award) proved that a 25-35% difference moves the needle. Mitigated by acclimatisation/logistics and scorable local content

See the remaining risk
Weather window + end of the wave

Work executable ~Oct-May: a delayed award loses the year (already happened with E-F, winter 2026). And the bulk of the TAM is 2026-2030 with a Pachón tail 2029-2034; afterward a perpetual maintenance core of only ~USD 20-40 M/year estim remains — it is a wave, not an annuity

The opportunity in depth

How to get inthe gap and the routes that open it
1

⭐ Partner up, which is the route that has just worked and has a case. On 11 September 2026 the operator awarded the corridor's first 63.6 kilometres to a joint venture of two national builders with a San Juan company inside, and it says itself that this joint venture was put together at its business rounds. Article 14 of the provincial law gives it legal form: an association with at least 25 % local participation enrols as a supplier and counts the proportional amount.

2

Aim at what still has no contractor: segments B, C and D, some 107 kilometres under tender since January 2026 and with no published awardee, and segments E and F, some 50 kilometres above 3,500 metres that were left vacant in April 2026 and have no new tender announced. They are the corridor's hardest and that is why they are still open.

3

As a work-front subcontractor to a national awardee, or in a joint venture: rock blasting, culverts, minor bridges. ⭐ And there are two works that ask for a different profile: the interconnection road between the two deposits, 31 kilometres at 9.5 metres wide, which carries the water pipeline and the communications cable alongside and which the technical report leaves for after the first stage, and the relocation of the existing power lines in the upgrade of the current access, which is on the La Rioja side.

4

Recurring road maintenance as an anchor that annualises the SME and survives the end of the construction: it is what the San Juan firm that won the reserved tender won in June 2025, over 170 kilometres in three segments and for some 13 months. ⭐ And there is a second buyer almost nobody counts: the province, with the USD 600 million from the bond it placed in September 2026, which, unlike the mine, tenders through public tender documents and not by invitation. The named work it announced with that money on 6 October 2026 is a road but not a high-altitude one: a 24.5-kilometre motorway on Ruta Nacional 20, between the city and Caucete, with 36 months of works and not yet tendered. And the USD 250 million agreement with Vicuña has a road work whose destination the government confirmed on 6 August 2026: Ruta Nacional 40 Norte, between Albardón and Jáchal, still without published kilometres, cost or schedule. It is demand for aggregates, asphalt, concrete and haulage on the plains.

What you needcapital, certification, tax regime and who pays
The work pays against progress. What it takes to come in through the door:
Capital
An owned earthmoving fleet, or one financed against the contract (USD 10-25 M of equipment for a package like segments E and F) plus working capital for 16 to 18 months of work paid against progress certificates. Banks take the mining contract as collateral.
High-altitude capability
The real bottleneck: a track record of work at altitude —the segments start above 3,500 metres prob—, an acclimatisation plan and equipment ready for a cold start.
See the detail
The current access, from Guandacol, climbs 3,500 metres to a pass at 4,500 with gradients of more than 20 %. That the operator removed from the works the joint venture holding the hardest segment proved this filter is applied for real: it said it would take it back up «with another company or companies that ensure greater predictability in timing and consistency in execution», and since then the cheapest bidder does not win.
Local seal
Qualification in the operator's supplier portal, plus the provincial register once it exists. ⚠️ And a requirement that is easy to miss: the register the law asks of local builders, with 24 months of standing, is the public works one — a company that has always worked for private clients may not be there. Article 14 opens the door of an association with at least 25 % local participation.
Who pays
The operator tenders the road works directly, not through the firm that manages the works. ⭐ And there is a second buyer with a different rule: the province tenders through public tender documents, not by invitation.
▸ You tell us where to see what your company does and we tell you whether we see a sign that it fits this opportunity, with the evidence behind it. See if my company fits this opportunity →
When you get paid, and what blocks it
It pays TODAY: segments E and F were left vacant in April 2026 and there is no new tender announced as at 14 September — the price reference in circulation, USD 70-80 M for those 50 kilometres, comes from the press: the operator does not publish contract amounts; Segment A was awarded on 11-Sep-2026, and its amount, USD 135,012,246 over 27 months, was also published by the press prob; segments B-D have been under tender since Jan-2026; Los Azules started its pioneer road in June 2026 and places the definitive road in 2027; an earthmoving contractor has already taken three phases of Veladero's valley leach. The only spend awaiting an event: El Pachón (no approved RIGI; environmental report targeted for the first half of 2027). Model: a works contract paid against progress certificates with the operator (Vicuña tenders the road works directly, not through the firm that manages the works) or a subcontract; 12-24 month renewable maintenance as a recurrence anchor. Real bottleneck (in order): (1) proven high-altitude capability — the filter the termination switched on for real; (2) capital: USD 10-25 M in fleet + working capital, financeable against the contract; (3) qualification at the operator's supplier window (1-15 days, paperwork) + RE.PRO.MIN (unregulated and with no legal deadline) to score as local. First invoice: 3-6 months as a work-front subcontractor, 6-12 months as a direct awardee (+winter if the award falls after March).
Who you compete againstwho is already there and what share they take
Who is
already in
Market
split
National mining earthmoving contractor (Rosario)~15-20% estim

The most established in mining earthworks: it took Veladero's Phase 8A valley leach (earthworks + geosynthetics + HDPE), scheduled from January to April 2025, with a peak of 500 people on site prob, and it is the third time it has done that mine's geosynthetics; works at Gualcamayo.

San Juan contractor present in all three large copper projects~10-15% estim

It built El Pachón's two bridges over the Los Patos and Colorado rivers between July 2024 and January 2026, according to the client itself verif, does road works at Los Azules prob and in June 2025 won the maintenance of the 170 km Angualasto-La Majadita road at Vicuña for some 13 months (~100 jobs), in a tender reserved for San Juan companies prob.

Terminated joint venture (San Luis + SJ)0% today (was ~20% of Vicuña road works) estim

Terminated Apr-2026 on segments E-F for non-performance; according to the provincial press it had bid 30-35% below its competitors prob; its fall IS the market vacancy

National builder with a Veladero track record~5-10% estim

Track record at Veladero: the expansion of the valley leach, Phase 6, between 2019 and 2020, according to its own website; it is part of the joint venture that won Segment A of the Corredor Norte on 11-Sep-2026 verif; according to the press, that contract is for USD 135,012,246 over 27 months prob

See the remaining player
Large national builder + segments B-D awardees (not published)~40-50% to be assigned estim

A large national builder appears in the Los Azules FS as a contributor (a threat of entry from above); the B-D awardees are the map's key information gap. A Chinese builder: 0% in roads but proved in camps that global pricing competes

The jobs it createsJobs: ~100 direct per contract (Zlato 100, E-F ~100, Pachón bridges 120 with 90% from Calingasta). La lectura completa para el que busca trabajo, en la hoja de este nicho para la gente →

How we
calculate it

The number is our own estimate. The calculation, step by step, is below.

The full calculation, step by step
Annualization window: 2026 → 2030 (÷5 years), with the PEAK stated separately at 2027-2029. ⚠️ Two warnings. (1) It is not the canonical window (2026-2028). (2) The divisor is 5 years, against the 4 of the camps-and-modules opportunity and the 4.5 of the power-and-transmission one, which use the same nominal window: the three divide over different denominators and so their TAM/year figures are not strictly comparable. What is published as the headline figure is the annual peak, not the window average, and both figures are on show.Bottom-up by work package, with a unit price anchored to the two observed market prices and a primary capex breakdown: (A) Vicuña Northern Corridor 220 km (Lundin ITS, primary opened Jul 19): segments E-F 50 km = USD 70-80 M, the competitors' budgets according to the provincial press prob La Picada, 14-Apr-2026 → USD 1.4-1.6 M/km; Segment A 63.6 km = USD 135 M, the contract awarded according to the press: USD 135,012,246 over 27 months, some USD 2.1 M/km prob EconoJournal, 18-Sep-2026; segments B-D 107.4 km × USD 1.4-2.1 M/km = 150-226 M estim (band between the two observed prices, E-F and Segment A; it replaces the earlier assumption of USD 0.9-1.3 M/km, 60-80 % of the E-F unit price due to lower altitude, which Segment A disproves: the calculation assumed it cheaper for being lower down, and it came out more expensive per km); bridges 15-25 M [anchor: 2 Pachón bridges = USD 15 M] → subtotal 370-466 M (previously 240-330 M). (B) On-site earthworks at Vicuña: 4-6% of the Stage 1 capex USD 7,100 M [supuesto benchmarked against the Los Azules FS: Access Roads 3.0% + Site Dev 3.2% of capex] = 285-425 M. (C) Los Azules, from the primary FS (opened Jul 19): Access Roads USD 93.6 M verif feasibility study release + Site Development 101.6 M × 70% + Heap Leach 331.6 M × 50-60% earthworks = 330-365 M. (D) Pachón early works 2029-2030: 100-200 M [supuesto]. (E) Gold: Veladero F8-9 20-30% of USD 436 M (valley leach = earthworks; Phase 8A was taken by a Rosario contractor, scheduled from January to April 2025) = 90-130 M; Gualcamayo DCP 4-6% of 519.6 M = 21-31 M. (F) Recurring maintenance (Zlato 170 km + Veladero 154 km + winter): 15-25 M/year [supuesto]. Total ~1,210-1,640 M / 5 years (previously ~1,080-1,510 M; the sum rises some USD 130 M solely because of the corridor price). Top-down cross-check: simultaneous peak capex ~3,100 M/year × 8-12% roads+earthworks (Los Azules FS ratio ~11%) = 250-370 M/year — converges: the price per km does not enter this cross-check, which is why it does not move, and the package-by-package calculation averages ~240-330 M/year over the window. Excludes: modular camps, assembly, drilling, state public works, everything outside San Juan.

Concentration Low-to-medium and transitory: no player exceeds around 20 % and a good part of the corridor is still unawarded. As of 14 September 2026, of some 220 kilometres there are 63.6 awarded, some 107 under tender since January with no published awardee and some 50 vacant since April. The hard scarcity data point: the road tender reserved for San Juan firms drew six bidders, and the most critical package was left without a contractor when the operator removed the joint venture that had won it a year earlier. ⭐ And there is a second data point visible in who wins: A San Juan contractor has worked on the province's three large copper projects: El Pachón's bridges verif , road works at Los Azules prob a single source and the maintenance of Vicuña's road prob provincial press; that it is the only one is our reading thesis. For a newcomer that means few bidders and a repeat winner; for the buyer it means concentration risk on the same installed capacity.

The rule that moves it

This niche's driver is provincial: San Juan's Local Mining Development Law reserves part of mining procurement for the local supplier and turns provincial qualification into a competitive advantage.

See the underlying reading

The underlying policy that opens up this demand. It is the same inference declared by the rules and the program pillars pushing in this direction.

lowers country risk + the RIGI promise is kept
enables
San Juan: 80/60 local mining procurement
See the rule →
It requires 60% of mining purchases to go to registered San Juan suppliers: it enlarges the local contractor's addressable market and makes the RE.PRO.MIN seal the key to the copper mega-miners' quota.
See the full legal grounds
The quota does not fall away on price — what the act allows is excluding from the calculation base a purchase with no reasonable local offer, with a reasoned technical justification (sec. 9).

Where the number comes from

~USD 250-370 M/year (converges with the by-package calculation)

See the calculation, the variables and how it was validated

The figure holds up along two converging paths. The simplest to watch is top-down: how much is built per year in San Juan, times the share that is road works and earthmoving.

~USD 3,100 M/yr (simultaneous mining investment, 2028 peak) × 8-12% (roads + earthworks)=~USD 250-370 M/year
Simultaneous mining investment in the province~USD 3,100 M/yearannual review
Vicuña ~2,100 + Los Azules ~700 + Veladero ~150 + Gualcamayo ~130, at the 2028 construction peak (our split). It moves with each project's final investment decision and schedule.
% roads + earthmoving8-12%structural
Ratio from the Los Azules Feasibility —accesses 3.0% + site development 3.2% + heap earthworks ~5%—, the only primary source with a fine breakdown of the investment.
High-altitude unit price~USD 1.4-2.1 M/kmannual review
The two observed market prices: the USD 70-80 M that, according to the provincial press, the competitors budgeted for the 50 km of segments E-F at +3,500 masl (some USD 1.4-1.6 M/km), and the Segment A contract, which according to the press is for USD 135,012,246 over 27 months for 63.6 km (some USD 2.1 M/km) prob . The package-by-package calculation uses that band for the 107 km of segments B to D estim. It does not enter the formula above, which works as a percentage of the investment.

The package-by-package calculation —Vicuña's Northern Corridor + Los Azules accesses and heap + Veladero phases + El Pachón's start + recurring maintenance— adds up to ~USD 1,200-1,650 M over the 2026-2030 window with the Segment A contract price, some USD 240-330 M a year on average estim. The 2027-2029 annual peak we publish, ~USD 300-400 M, comes from the top-down calculation plus El Pachón's start, which does not depend on the price per kilometre; with the corridor's new price, the most likely outcome is that the real peak lands in the upper part of that band thesis.

The number rests on a few variables. The formula shows how it moves when each one changes; and each variable carries its freshness seal — how often it is worth revisiting. estim

How solid the number is estim

The floor of the figure comes from hard data opened at the official source: the Los Azules feasibility study budgets USD 93.6 M for accesses and USD 331.6 M for the heap leach —earthmoving-intensive work—, and the large project's technical report describes four roads with their geometry: the current 220 kilometre access that climbs 3,500 metres to a pass at 4,500 with gradients of more than 20 %, the 220 new kilometres of the Northern Corridor from Angualasto, the 31 kilometre interconnection road 9.5 metres wide, and the high-mountain one to Chile.⚠️ And two things that circulate and cannot be asserted. That this is «the largest mining road project under way in the country» has no measurement to back it, and the comparison universe exists: Catamarca is executing at the same time a mining road plan of more than a hundred kilometres towards the Puna, so without a national measurement —which does not exist— the label is indefensible. And the reference price quoted —USD 70-80 M for 50 kilometres, with a bid 30-35 % below— appears in only one of the pieces that covered the termination, in the conditional and as the competitors' budgets, and the operator does not publish contract amounts: it goes as a press reference, and it is stated as such.And the provincial bond law, read in its text and not in the press: it authorises up to USD 600 million and earmarks them exclusively for public investment, infrastructure works and capital spending. ⚠️ It does not say «current spending prohibited», which is how the press tells it: it gets there by the positive route. And the law does not mention any axis —neither National Route 40, nor Agua Negra—: the five axes come from the Ministerio de Economía via the press. What it does say and nobody published: it authorises pledging federal revenue-sharing as collateral, authorises extension of jurisdiction to foreign courts and exempts the operation from every provincial tax.

Coverage: the registries of San Juan's two mining supplier chambers —CASEMI's 187 members and CAPRIMSA's 40 published—, of which 26 and six declare construction, civil works, earthworks or road engineering · Sep 14, 2026 · not reviewed: the Registry of Public Works Contractors, which is the universe the law requires, publishes the enrolment procedure but not the roll of those enrolled; and the awardees of sections B, C and D were not published

How to cite this figure: Despegue (2026). High-mountain road works and earthmoving (San Juan) · San Juan. despegueargentina.com/en/san-juan/obra-vial-movimiento-suelo-minero · terms of use

Neighbouring markets2 markets in the same group, from USD 20 to USD 550 M a year

First step · free
The first read of your company

We look at what your company does and tell you whether we see a sign that it fits this market, with the evidence behind it. If we do not see one, we say so too and name the condition that would change it. One page as a dated PDF, within 48 working hours.

Not here for a company? Invest · Work (in Spanish) · Start a business (in Spanish) · Institutions
Page 1 of the example executive summaryOpen the report ↗A real analysis · a real company, open in full →
Ignacio Aredez
Analysis and curation: Ignacio Aredez
Head of Despegue
Method and track record →
  • 20+ years in technology, 15 of them in data and AI, for clients across Europe and the Americas
  • Certified in AI governance (ISO/IEC 42001)
  • Machine Learning (Google Cloud)
  • Registered expert with the European Commission
How to read the seals →
  verif primary source · prob primary source pending · unconf a source said it · estim our own calculation · thesis our reading · the date belongs to the datum, at the precision its source allows
This is not financial advice. The TAM is an estimate with a transparent method, not an official figure; the framing is labeled as thesis. Every figure carries its source. ← All opportunities in San Juan