The norm, in detail
The Central Bank reform cleared the Chamber of Deputies and still needs the Senate
Executive branch bill · passed the lower house Aug 26, 2026
pendingNATIONAL
FX and exit from currency controls
What changed and who it applies to
What changed
Nothing has changed yet: this is a bill that cleared the lower house, not a law. What it proposes —and this is how the Executive itself presented it— is to close by statute the two doors through which the Central Bank financed the Treasury: ban unbacked issuance and financing of the fiscal accounts, narrow the Bank's mandate to preserving the value of the currency, and make removing its authorities difficult so that a government cannot replace them when it dislikes the result. The timeline, with dates: on July 30, 2026 Milei presented it in a national broadcast; on August 5 the Finance and the Budget and Treasury committees debated it with Bausili and Werning themselves defending it; on August 12 it obtained a majority committee report with 42 signatures out of 73 deputies present, backed by LLA, PRO, UCR, Producción y Trabajo, Independencia and Innovación Federal; and on August 26 the Chamber passed it and sent it to the Senate. prob · Aug 26, 2026 ↗
In force
Not in force. It passed the Chamber of Deputies on August 26, 2026 and is now in the Senate. Only if the Senate passes it does it become law. prob · Aug 26, 2026 ↗
Who it affects
The Treasury, which would lose the route of financing itself through issuance; the Central Bank itself and its board, whose appointment and removal rules would change; and anyone making decisions beyond a one-year horizon: banks, borrowers, exporters and importers, and every long-lived investment project whose cost of capital hangs on the monetary rule not being changeable by the government of the day. thesis · Aug 12, 2026
Our reading
This is the institutional pillar of the program: disinflation was achieved through management decisions, and this would put it in writing with the force of law, which is what an investor looks at when discounting a twenty-year project. ⚠️ And it must be said just as plainly: passing one chamber is not a law. While it sits in the Senate, what changed is the probability that the rule becomes permanent, not the rule. thesis
Where it lands, province by province
Applies the same nationwide
We looked at this rule from each of the five provinces we track and found no effect that lands differently in any of them: it applies the same across the country.
The other rules on this subject13
Currency controls: exit for individuals and floating bandsDecreto 269/2025 + BCRA Com. "A" 8226in force
The BCRA loosens the cepo: parent-company debt without asking permissionBCRA Com. "A" 8417 (Apr 9, 2026)in force
Multilateral-guaranteed debt under New York law: the Treasury refinances more cheaplyDecreto 478/2026 (Official Gazette Jun 22, 2026)in force
Bands tied to inflation + the BCRA buys reserves againBCRA Monetary Policy Statement (Dec 15, 2025)in force
Ignacio Aredez· Chief analyst
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How to read the seals → verif primary source · prob primary source pending · unconf not sufficiently backed · estim our own calculation · thesis our reading