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up to date · reviewed Oct 17, 2026
The pillar, in detail

BCRA reserves

USD 49,723 M
gross as of Oct 14, 2026 · +6,618 M in 2026 · June target met verif Oct 14, 2026 ↗
Pillar statusON TRACKTrend▼ worsening
The latest figure meets the promise we measure on this pillar.

What was promised

Reserve accumulation and exit from the currency controls toward free availability of foreign exchange.

Where it stands today

Gross international reserves USD 49,723 M as of Oct 14, 2026 (official BCRA series): +6,618 M so far in 2026 (43,105 M on Jan 2). Every quarter close pushes them down for a few days because of banks' reserve-requirement movements: on 30-Sep they fell 1,390 M in one day, to 46,092 M, and the same happened on 30-Jun (44,870 M, and 47,067 M the next day). Through the end of September, the year's peak was 50,913 M on 25-Aug. September's decline has three parts that are kept apart: (1) the central bank's purchases in the market nearly stopped: 2,770, 2,601, 1,418 and 2,162 M a month between April and July, 770 M in August and 313 M in September, the year's lowest-buying month, which coincides with the end of the main harvest's FX inflows; (2) payments to international organizations took off 1,378 M in September, 790 M of them on 25-Sep; (3) the end-of-month and end-of-quarter reserve-requirement movement. Through September, the year's purchases add up to 14,421 M. The IMF target is sealed in the primary source: +3,500 M by 30-Jun and +8,000 M for the year (staff report CR 26/105, performance criteria table) — mind the yardstick: the target is measured in NET reserves under the program's definition, a different measure from the gross reserves in this series (the two numbers aren't directly comparable). Under the program's yardstick, the June target was met ahead of time (~6,300 M: press convergence, pending the official verdict of the 3rd review). That review's technical mission was in Buenos Aires from 21 to 29-Sep; according to the IMF, talks continue in the coming weeks to reach the staff-level agreement, which does not exist yet. The full arc is honest: the Dec-2025 target had been missed (-12.1 vs -1.0 committed; IMF waiver due to pre-election FX pressure) — 2026 is the program's first year with accumulation running ahead of the target. The central bank has two swap lines: with the People's Bank of China, for 130,000 M yuan (about USD 18,600 M at the ratio the BCRA itself uses, 35,000 M yuan = USD 5,000 M), renewed on 5-Aug-2026 for five years and with USD 5,000 M activated since 2023; and with the US Treasury, for up to USD 20,000 M, whose 2025 operations were unwound in December 2025 and whose term has not been published. Caveat on the STOCK: the level includes the IMF disbursement of ~USD 11,800 M from Apr-2025. verif Oct 14, 2026 ↗

The historical series

See the 37 points of the series · between 21,513 and 49,723
PeriodValue USD M
Oct-2649,723
Sep-2646,092
Aug-2648,259
Jul-2647,599
Jun-2644,870
May-2648,193
Apr-2644,516
Mar-2642,052
Feb-2645,566
Jan-2644,503
Dec-2541,095
Nov-2540,335
Oct-2539,382
Sep-2540,374
Aug-2539,986
Jul-2538,866
Jun-2539,973
May-2536,919
Apr-2538,928
Mar-2524,986
Feb-2528,117
Jan-2528,310
Dec-2429,640
Nov-2430,214
Oct-2428,618
Sep-2427,172
Aug-2426,719
Jul-2426,402
Jun-2429,022
May-2428,664
Apr-2427,578
Mar-2427,127
Feb-2426,690
Jan-2427,642
Dec-2323,073
Nov-2321,513
Nov-2321,876

How it is computed: the series is daily; here it is plotted one point per month, the last of each

What it is measured against1

The reserves inheritance: 21,876 million dollars of GROSS international reserves at the BCRA on 1 November 2023. ⚠️ They are gross, which is what this axis measures and what the series publishes; NET reserves on that date were negative and are a different figure, one that is not curated here and is therefore not asserted. verif Nov 2023 ↗

The comparison, on its own, does not attribute the change to any particular policy.

Our reading

Trend▼ worsening (editorial reading, anchored to the data)
What it enables if sustained thesis
Reserves up for the year (+2,987 M at the end of September, with 14,421 M bought in the market) → backing to float without jolts → the RIGI's central promise (free availability of foreign exchange) becomes credible → submitted projects move into construction. What decides the next stretch is the pace: purchases fell to 313 M in September. R2
More reserves = a lower devaluation premium → FX hedging gets cheaper → the foreign investor can plan dividend repatriation without a panic discount. R2
An external cushion + a current account that swung to surplus (USD 2,214 M in Q2-2026, against -2,452 M a year earlier) → shielding against Brent or soy shocks without breaking the program. The flip side is primary income (-6,032 M in the quarter, almost all investment income): it is the foreign currency that profit remittances call for. R2+R5
What we watchFX lag / reserve crisis → disorderly devaluation. Degrades R1, R2, R3. Watch the gap, net reserves, the REM.

Policies and rules related to this pillar11

We do not attribute this indicator to a single rule. Here we gather the policies and rules we track because they can affect the conditions related to this pillar, each with its status and its source.

Ley Bases: the RIGI is bornLey 27.742 · Decreto 749/2024in force
Currency controls: exit for individuals and floating bandsDecreto 269/2025 + BCRA Com. "A" 8226in force
Dividends abroad: transfers return for non-residentsBCRA Communication "A" 8226/2025in force
Bands tied to inflation + the BCRA buys reserves againBCRA Monetary Policy Statement (Dec 15, 2025)in force
Export blend dollar: created and then eliminatedDecreto 28/2023 → repealed by Decreto 269/2025in force
BOPREAL: a bond to channel importers' debt outside the FX marketBCRA Communication "A" 7918 (12/13/2023) + Decreto 72/2023in force
BOPREAL Series 4: a dollar bond to remit withheld dividendsBCRA Com. "A" 8233 and 8234 (Apr 30, 2025)in execution
Import payments: from the phased 30/60/90/120 to 30 daysBCRA Com. 'A' 7917 (Dec 13, 2023) → BCRA Com. 'A' 8118 (Oct 17, 2024)in force
December 2023 devaluation: dollar to $800 + 2% crawlFX policy decision by the BCRA/Economy (announced Dec 12, 2023, in force Dec 13, 2023)in force
Private property: expropriation costs more and eviction speeds up (half-sanctioned)Bill PE-13/2026 (Mensaje 22/26) — first-round approval in the Senate; now in the Chamber of Deputies (file 0032-S-2026)pending

Markets linked to this pillar27

These markets belong to sectors whose activity also shows up in relation to this pillar. We show them to connect the aggregate indicator with concrete markets for goods and services that we track in the large projects. Their presence here does not mean this indicator is the cause of that demand.

Which part of this can reach your company?

The pillar shows the economic context. For a company we run a different cross-check: which projects buy what you make, who buys, when that purchase appears and what you would need to prepare to get in.

Where my company can get in

How often it is updated

Frequency
daily
Lag
~1 days after the period closes
Latest period published
2026-10-14
Who publishes it
The BCRA API, and the API IS the primary source: written by the automatic daily refresh.
Built on the official source of each figure, with the gaps declared. Back to the program pillars
Ignacio Aredez
Analysis and curation: Ignacio Aredez
Head of Despegue
Method and track record →
  • 20+ years in technology, 15 of them in data and AI, for clients across Europe and the Americas
  • Certified in AI governance (ISO/IEC 42001)
  • Machine Learning (Google Cloud)
  • Registered expert with the European Commission
How to read the seals →
  verif primary source · prob primary source pending · unconf a source said it · estim our own calculation · thesis our reading · the date belongs to the datum, at the precision its source allows