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Neuquén · Vaca Muerta · public works
Provincial revenue holds it up; tolls have not startedthesis

Public road works and toll road concessions

Estimated entry range for a supplier
~USD 10-30M/year in 2-3 years
Estimated market: ~USD 198M - 233M/yr already invoicing estim
up to date · reviewed Oct 1, 2026
estim 2026urgent demandour reading
At a glance
Who buys
The provincial DPV, directly
the 4 doors →
When
It opens through the provincial door, not the toll one: the detailed designs for RP 8 and RP 51, on the 158 km the operators prefinance, have already been tendered, and the Province expects works to start before year-end. Those tenders are the window to arrive qualified. verif Oct 1, 2026 ↗
what to watch and where it stands →
The main barrier
It is not the plant: it is the capacity certificate from the provincial builders' register. Without it the bid is rejected on the table, and the certificate itself carries an annual contracting cap that limits the size of work you can aim for. verif ↗
the whole entry map →
Where you get in
Do not fight for the toll concession —which has not started anyway— nor for the large works already awarded. Enter where there is a dated pipeline and the bottleneck is capacity:
the 4 routes →

While the national government cuts public works, Neuquén funds them with Vaca Muerta revenue: the roads line of the 2026 budget is one third of the provincial infrastructure plan, ~USD 198-233M a year, although what is actually contracted out is less because the provincial highways agency does much of it with its own plant and staff. ⭐ And there is a new date: on 8 September 2026 thirteen operators agreed to prefinance up to USD 154.5M of works on RP8, RP51 and RP7 —some 160 km—, and the Province is the one tendering. ⛔ The toll concession, by contrast, is not about to happen: its clock only starts once an agreement with the national highways agency is approved, and that agreement is not even signed.

verif primary sourceestim our own calculationthesis our readingHow to read all five →

What the market is made of

The market is activity, not a capturable opportunity. Part of the line never goes to tender —what the highways agency executes with its own plant and staff— and another part is already awarded. What is addressable is the recurring flow of mid-sized works, the inputs and subcontracted maintenance.

How it splits, and against which total
Breakdown of the 2026 line (midpoint ~USD 215M): not contractable ~18% (in-house production and equipment of the provincial highways agency) · large works already awarded and tolling systems ~37% · addressable ~45%. Tolls and the operators' prefinancing fall outside this breakdown. Our own estimate. estim
Not contractableUSD 39 M · 18%
CaptiveUSD 80 M · 37%
AddressableUSD 96 M · 45%
Not contractableUSD 39 M18%non-addressable
in-house production and equipment of the provincial highways agency: never goes to tender
CaptiveUSD 80 M37%non-addressable
large works already awarded and tolling and weighing systems, from global vendors
AddressableUSD 96 M45%addressable
mid-sized road works, inputs (aggregates, asphalt, signage, barriers) and subcontracted maintenance
Non-addressable

The toll concession —when it exists— would be taken by two to four large groups with capital and a track record, and the tolling and weighing systems belong to a handful of global vendors. On top of that is what never goes to tender: almost USD 39M of the line is in-house production and equipment of the provincial highways agency. Not addressable. estim

Addressable share

The recurring flow of mid-sized road tenders —repaving, sections, bridges—, the inputs (aggregates, asphalt, signage, barriers) and subcontracted maintenance. Against what is contractable to third parties: ~USD 90-140M/yr for a regional contractor or supplier. estim

Entry range for a supplier

An input supplier or a mid-sized road contractor can take ~USD 10-30M a year within two or three years, riding the paving plan and the 160 km of the operators' agreement. The barrier is the capacity certificate and the annual contracting capacity it carries, plus equipment or plant capital. estim

▸ Leverage, not a guarantee — the bottleneck is the capacity certificate from the provincial builders' register and the annual contracting capacity it carries, not demand.

Who really pays?

The obvious name pays only one of the doors, and one widespread belief is wrong: the large corridor works are not tendered by the oil companies, they are prefinanced by them. Four different doors:

If you sellProvincial road works (repaving, sections, bridges)
→
The provincial DPV, directly verif Jul 1, 2025 ↗

It tenders and pays with the provincial budget (case Tender 35/25, RP6, provincial funds); Ley 3432 enables renegotiation and price re-determination.

If you sellInputs (aggregates, asphalt, signage, guardrails)
→
The contractor that won the works — and also the DPV itself prob ↗

Do not assume a single door: the DPV tenders asphalt and guardrails for stockpiling for >$2,000M (Tender 129-131/25), in addition to the awarded contractor buying them.

If you sellThe Vaca Muerta corridor works the operators prefinance
→
The Province, which runs the tender — the operators only put the money up front verif Sep 9, 2026 ↗

⛔ the 8 September agreement has thirteen operators contributing USD 154.5M —extendable to USD 177.7M, 15% more for contingencies— on some 158 km of RP8, RP51 and RP7, recoverable against royalties with a 20% cap. But the agreement says «all Vaca Muerta roads are paid for by the Province» and that «the Province will prepare the executive designs for the subsequent tender». ⇒ the door is the provincial highways agency, not an oil company's procurement department.

If you sellTolls and concession maintenance
→
Nobody yet: there is no concessionaire and no bidding documents verif in force since 2026 ↗

The national decree delegated the power to concession by toll to nine provinces, but it first requires an agreement with the national highways agency approved by the Secretaría de Transporte, and only from that approval does the one-year deadline to call a tender start. As of 10 September 2026 that agreement is not signed.

▸
The lesson changed: the large corridor works are prefinanced by the oil companies but tendered by the Province, so the door is the provincial highways agency and not an operator's procurement department. And tolls, as yet, are paid by nobody.

When the window opens

The earliest warning is not the tender: it is the works plan that anticipates it.

What to watchWhat changes when it happensStatus
The provincial budget's public works plan, line by line
It is the itemized list of which roads are worked on and with how much, published months before the first bidding documents. It is the earliest warning of all: the tender comes out of the plan, and the plan is published first.
ARS 351,027,482,808 for 2026, 34.8% of the provincial infrastructure plan verif Dec 23, 2025 ↗
The law ratifying the road agreement, and then the bidding documents for the 160 km
Private contributions go into a special account and the Province is the one tendering, and it has to produce the executive designs first. The agreement is already signed, but the money moves once the Legislature ratifies it: that is the milestone that opens the work, and the bidding documents come after.
agreement signed on 8 September 2026; the Legislature's Hydrocarbons committee approved the report by majority and passed it to the Constitutional Affairs committee: that committee and the floor vote are still pending.
See the evidence
The first tender documents are already out —the detailed designs for RP 8 and RP 51, with bids opened on 21 September—; the works ones, not yet
verif Oct 1, 2026 ↗
The execution order of the four stages, which the agreement sets in advance
The four are not tendered together: the agreement puts them in order. (1) Paving of RP 8 from the junction with RP 6, the stretch known as «Camino de la Tortuga». (2) RP 51 between its junctions with routes 8 and 17. (3) Resurfacing of RP 8 between routes 51 and 7. (4) RP 7 from the Río Negro border to the junction with route 8. ⭐ For a supplier that is the schedule: the work starts at the Camino de la Tortuga, and whoever wants to be in the first one has to be qualified before that tender is published, not before the last.
order set in the agreement of 8 Sep 2026; the detailed designs for the first two stages (RP 8 and RP 51) were tendered and their bids opened on 21 Sep, and that day the governor said work on RP 8 up to the Camino de la Tortuga had already started.
See the evidence
⚠️ The text of the bill is not published: the order is reported by converging press coverage of the bill, not by an official act we read
prob Sep 15, 2026 ↗
The repayment of the contributions against royalties, which only begins in month 30
The operators pay up front and recover later: each can offset up to 20 % per month of the royalties and/or the extraordinary production levy it owes, and the remaining 80 % keeps going to the Province. Repayment only begins in month 30, counted from when each contribution is made. ⇒ the works do not wait for the royalty flow, so the pace is set by the tender and not by the treasury; and the Province gives up no revenue for two and a half years.
initial contribution USD 154.5M, extendable to USD 177,675,000 (USD 177.7M); deposited into a special account of the Corporate Social Responsibility Trust administered by Fiduciaria Neuquina S.A. prob Sep 15, 2026 ↗
The provincial highways agency's tender listing
The call is the earliest event in the purchasing chain: it is published before the opening and long before the first invoice for aggregates or asphalt.
published by event, with irregular timing verif Sep 14, 2026 ↗
The works plan for the 165.84 km of national routes the Province took over
Neuquén took on full management —works, upkeep and maintenance— of three national stretches: RN 242 (58.84 km, Las Lajas to the Pino Hachado pass), RN 231 (32 km, up to the Cardenal Samoré pass) and RN 40 (75 km, from the RN 237 junction to the RN 231 one). The Province decides the plan and puts up the financing, and may carry it out in-house or through third parties. ⭐ For a supplier that is new demand that used to be tendered by the national government and is now tendered by the provincial highway agency — the same buyer as always, with 165.84 km more on top. ⚠️ The roadway remains under national jurisdiction: what changes is who manages and pays, not who owns the road.
agreement signed on 16 Sep 2026 with the national highway agency; the Works and Investment Plan has not been published yet, and the executive designs drawn up by the provincial highway agency are subject to technical validation by the national one verif Sep 16, 2026 ↗
The toll agreement, which is a separate one and does not exist yet
The handover has been signed, but it did not bring the toll with it. The 16 Sep agreement says the Province may promote a toll concession, and that implementing it requires signing a new specific agreement with the national government. ⇒ without that second act there is no concession tender and no clock running: the toll leg is still worth zero, even though it moved up a step.
the handover of the 165.84 km was signed on 16 Sep 2026; the specific toll agreement has not been signed as of 18 Sep verif Sep 16, 2026 ↗
The monthly correction factor of the provincial public works council
It is what decides whether a works contract keeps its margin: the rules require publishing it every month, at up to 80% of the construction cost index, and cost variations are settled on it. If it lags, the contractor loses money even as the work advances.
the obligation to publish it is monthly; we could not read the current value, the body's site did not respond unconf Sep 14, 2026
The amount for each section, given by the minister in the Legislature
It sizes each contract before the tender documents: one of about USD 90M, contested by the large contractors, and three of USD 6M to 50M, within reach of a mid-sized firm. And since every section carries a toll and dynamic weigh-in-motion control, the scales are a separate purchase.
RP 8, 95 km section: USD 91.3M; RP 8, 8 km section: USD 6.8M; RP 51 (40 km): USD 50.4M.
See the evidence
RP 7 (15 km): USD 6M. They add up to USD 154.5M and the agreement was signed for 177.6M, 15% more for contingencies. The Province expects to start works before the end of 2026. These are reference amounts stated by the minister, not awarded contract values
verif Oct 1, 2026 ↗
What signals the game has changed
Provincial fiscal adjustment

The road line-item is ~1/3 of public works, tied to the surplus and to Vaca Muerta rents. A drop in royalties (crude price) cuts the road item, easy to prune. thesis

Tolls do not start, and today the clock is not even running

Decreto 253/2026 gives one year to call a tender, but that period only begins once the Secretaría de Transporte approves the agreement with the national highways agency.

See the evidence
As of 10 September 2026 that agreement is not signed, and the national highways chief explained in the Senate why: he does not accept that the province invests and then expects to recover the investment without conceding. ⇒ no bidding documents are in sight, and this whole leg is worth zero today. verif the decree text; probable the state of the agreement
Social/political resistance to tolls

Tolls on urban stretches (the access to the capital) and on Vaca Muerta traffic make freight more expensive: that is where we expect resistance from users and trucking chambers once the tariff is set.

See the evidence
As of the Aug-2026 cutoff we have no formal act of rejection on record —neither from governors nor from chambers— against this scheme: it is what we are watching, not a done deal. It shrinks tariff or coverage. thesis
External financing is already inside the budget, not on top of it

The Alto Neuquén works financed with external credit are named and budgeted inside the 2026 roads line, under the external financing unit.

See the evidence
⇒ they do not enlarge the market: they explain where the money for part of what is already counted comes from. If execution slips, what slips is a portion of the line, not a new block. verif 2026 public works plan
See the remaining risk
A signatory questioned over Malvinas

In committee, Wintershall's signature was questioned, since its assets were bought by Harbour, a company flagged for operating in Malvinas.

See the evidence
The minister said the matter «is under study» and that if a company drops out, another has to take its place verif Legislatura. If a signatory leaves, its contribution is split among the rest and ratification may be delayed.

The opportunity in depth

How to get inthe gap and the routes that open it
1

⭐ The 158 km the operators are prefinancing on RP8, RP51 and RP7: thirteen oil companies —fifteen corporate entities in the signed text— contribute USD 154.5M under the agreement of 8 September 2026, extendable to USD 177.7M, and the Province is the one tendering. The minister gave the amount for each section: USD 91.3M for the long section of RP 8 (95 km), 6.8M for the short one (8 km), 50.4M for RP 51 (40 km) and 6M for RP 7 (15 km). The work starts on RP 8, at the «Camino de la Tortuga», and continues with RP 51, RP 8 between 51 and 7, and RP 7. The detailed designs for RP 8 and RP 51 have already been tendered (bids opened on 21-Sep-2026); the works tenders come after, the Legislature still has to ratify the agreement and the Province expects to start works before year-end: those are the months to get qualified.

2

Aggregates, asphalt and concrete with job-by-job service along the corridor. ⚠️ We cannot claim a plant is missing nearby —there is no public register of asphalt plants in the province—; all that is published is that the highways agency supplies RP7 from Zapala, some 200 kilometres away.

3

Signage, road safety and barriers, which the large contractor subcontracts and which the budget itself itemizes separately.

4

Road engineering and works supervision for municipalities joining the provincial plan, and for the executive designs the Province has to produce before tendering those 160 km.

What you needcapital, certification, tax regime and who pays
State works are paid against progress. What it takes to enter — the full map, open:
Capital
Installed capacity: asphalt plant, quarry or road equipment. It is capacity investment, not commercial. ⚠️ Ley 3502 sets no investment floor for fiscal stability verif text of the law: the USD 500,000 quoted here and there verif implementing decree is the bottom of the band that defines the simplified procedure, not the door into the regime.
Qualification
⭐ This is the real barrier. The provincial public works law creates a register of builders and suppliers that grades technical, economic, financial and execution capacity, and its implementing decree requires bidders to attach the capacity certificate at the tender act: without it the bid is rejected on the table, however good it is. That certificate carries an annual contracting capacity that limits the size of work you can aim for. ⚠️ The processing time, the cost and the financial statements required are not published: the site of the body that issues the certificate does not respond.
Regime
The provincial reactivation law allows contract renegotiation and price redetermination, which is what protects the margin. The monthly correction factor published by the provincial public works council —of up to a 80% share of the construction cost index— is what decides whether a contract keeps that margin. And by siting a plant you capitalize Ley 3502.
Who pays
It depends on what you sell: the provincial highways agency on tendered works, the main contractor on inputs, and the operators only prefinance — the Province is still the one contracting.
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When you get paid, and what blocks it
The provincial road works block pays today: the Province tenders and pays from current budget, and the reactivation law improved payment certainty through renegotiation and price redetermination. The first invoice arrives at the pace of tenders, with works of eight to eighteen months. Bottleneck: the capacity certificate from the provincial builders' register, required at the tender act —without it the bid is rejected on the table— plus equipment or plant capital. Tolls pay tomorrow and nobody knows when: until the Secretaría de Transporte approves the agreement with the national highways agency, not even the deadline to call a tender is running. estim
Who you compete againstwho is already there and what share they take
Who is
already in
Market
split
Regional road builders (Patagonia / Comahue) via DPV tenderRotating long tail; none dominant

The DPV reports bidders tripled (from 2-3 to ~10 per project): the market decongested and became competitive, with no stable champion. They rotate by tender (repaving, sections, bridges).

Local contractor, sole qualified bidder for toll/weighing controlsVisible in road control infrastructure

Sole qualified bidder in the tender for toll/weighing controls WIM + free-flow RP7/17 (bid ~ARS 3,985M vs official budget ARS 1,945M) prob press coverage of the tender; the bidding documents are not loaded in our source catalog.

Global free-flow/WIM toll/weigh system vendorsTechnological oligopoly; 11 interested parties, few qualified

They visited the RP7/17 works; in the end 1 qualified. Technology and references = high barrier to entry. Concentrated market.

Toll concessionaires (motorway operators, national road-corridor groups)Virgin market in Neuquén: zero awards

The 30-year master concession (RN22/RN242) would be taken by 2-4 large groups with capital and track record, migrating from the federal scheme (Decreto 97/2025). Still no agreement with Vialidad Nacional nor a tender.

See the remaining player
Local aggregates / asphalt / concrete suppliersAtomized input

Physical bottleneck (asphalt plants, quarries, laying logistics) rather than commercial competition. It is the capacity constraint of the 600 km program.

The jobs it createsDirect construction employment, labor-intensive (local UOCRA.

the detail on jobs and trades
earthworks, concrete, asphalt, signage); the 600 km program equals 'half of everything paved in the entire history of the province'. Trainable trades: road equipment operators, soil lab technicians, surveyors, bridge welders. Local linkages: aggregate/asphalt plants, road equipment workshops, works transport (regional SMEs; bidders tripled = fabric reactivating). For the people: safe roads to the towns of Alto Neuquén (CAF loan, Paso Pichachen) and decongestion of access to the capital; on the flip side, tolls raise the cost of getting around for residents and hauliers. thesis

How we
calculate it

The number comes from multiplying the year’s activity by the unit price, and it is cross-checked against independent methods that give the same result.

The full calculation, step by step
Annualization window: NONE — Neuquén has no window, and that is the statement. This TAM does not spread a capex over years: it measures the annual flow of a population and an activity that are already installed in the corridor, not a project that ends. It is set by the shared table of provincial magnitudes, and all 28 Neuquén niches use the same unit, so their TAM/year figures are comparable with one another. ⚠️ What is NOT comparable: a Neuquén TAM/year against one from Catamarca, San Juan or Salta. Both are written «USD X M/year» and measure different objects — here it is a recurring flow; there, a construction capex spread over a window that closes. One block in the headline and two outside it, all three counted separately. Block A, the recurring floor and the only one in the headline. The «roads and highways» line of the 2026 provincial budget = ARS 351,027,482,808 ÷ ~1,508.50 pesos per dollar = USD 232.7M/yr; at 85% execution, USD 197.8M. ⭐ Of that line, ARS 58,904M is in-house production and equipment of the provincial highways agency —651 staff, an 8,464 km network— and only ARS 1,486M goes out to contract, so what is contractable to third parties is ~ARS 293,609M ≈ USD 195M/yr. That is the figure a contractor needs. Block B, tolls: worth zero today and with no date. Decreto 253/2026 delegated toll concessions to nine provinces, but the one-year deadline to call a tender only starts once the Secretaría de Transporte approves the agreement with the national highways agency, and that agreement is not signed. The gross toll revenue once estimated —on the order of USD 25-55M/yr— is the concessionaire's income, not the satellite supplier's, and is never added. Block C, the operators' prefinancing: a dated pipeline, outside the headline. The 8 September 2026 agreement puts up to USD 154.5M —extendable by 15%— on some 160 km of RP8, RP51 and RP7, with the Province running the tender. It is multi-year stock on works that are not in the 2026 plan, so it is not added: it is declared. ⚠️ And the Alto Neuquén external loan is no longer counted separately: its works are named and budgeted inside the 2026 line, under the external financing unit. It is the funding source for part of block A, not an additional block. Per-kilometre reference: repaving 54 km of RP6 was tendered at ARS 11,682M, i.e. ARS 216M per kilometre; at the July 2025 exchange rate, about USD 177,000 per kilometre. ⛔ It is not comparable to new mountain paving in Alto Neuquén, an order of magnitude more expensive: they are different works.

Concentration Mixed by sub-block. Road civil works are fragmented and have become competitive (bidders tripled, no champion). Toll/free-flow systems are concentrated among a few global vendors (technological oligopoly). The master toll concession is a virgin market (zero awards) that 2-4 large groups would take. Window open in mid-sized works and in inputs; closed in the master concession and in the systems.

The rule that moves it

Two rules from different jurisdictions and at different stages. The provincial one already works: the public works reactivation law sustains the pipeline and improves payment certainty through renegotiation and price redetermination. The national one does not yet: Decreto 253/2026 delegated to nine provinces —Neuquén among them— the power to concession stretches of national routes by toll, but it first requires an agreement with the national highways agency approved by the Secretaría de Transporte, and only from that approval does the deadline to call a tender start running.

enables
Neuquén reactivates public works: it renegotiates stalled contracts and excludes lost profit
See the rule →
The plan of 451 works (45 road works, >USD 2,000M) reactivates the pipeline and Ley 3432 improves payment certainty (renegotiation + price re-determination).
enables
Neuquén will be able to award its national routes to private players as toll concessions
See the rule →
Decreto 253/2026 is national and delegates to nine provinces —Neuquén among them— the power to concession stretches of national routes by toll.
See the full legal grounds
⛔ But it first requires an agreement with the national highways agency approved by the Secretaría de Transporte, and only from that approval does the year to call a tender run: as of 10 September 2026 that agreement was not signed.
enables
The oil companies pay for Vaca Muerta's roads: USD 50M with no public money
See the rule →
The oil companies fund corridor roads and recover against royalties. ⚠️ the September 2026 agreement makes clear they prefinance but do not tender — «all Vaca Muerta roads are paid for by the Province», which also prepares the executive designs for the subsequent tender.

Where the number comes from

~USD 233M/yr for the full line, ~198M at 85% execution — and ~195M of what is actually contractable to third parties

See the calculation, the variables and how it was validated

The recurring floor is built from two live variables: the roads line of the provincial budget and the exchange rate. Tolls are not a formula — they have not started.

ARS 351,027M (roads and highways, 2026) ÷ ~1,508.5 ARS/USD=~USD 233M/yr for the full line; ~195M contractable to third parties
Roads and highways lineARS 351,027M/yrannual review
34.8% of the provincial infrastructure plan, set in the Budget and revised once a year. Tied to Vaca Muerta revenue.
Exchange rate~1,508.5 ARS/USDlive data
It converts the peso budget into dollars and is what moves the figure most without any political decision changing: it went from 1,480 to 1,508.5 and the ceiling dropped seven million.
What never goes to tender~ARS 57,400 Mannual review
In-house production and equipment of the provincial highways agency —651 staff and an 8,464 km network—, of which only a fraction goes out to contract. It is the difference between the budget line and the market.

Tolls are not a formula and are worth zero today: the national decree gives one year to call a tender, but that period only starts once the Secretaría de Transporte approves the agreement with the national highways agency, and that agreement is not signed. And the operators' prefinancing —up to USD 154.5M on some 160 km— is multi-year stock on works not in the 2026 plan: it is declared separately, not added.

The number rests on a few variables. The formula shows how it moves when each one changes; and each variable carries its freshness seal — how often it is worth revisiting. estim

How solid the number is estim

The floor of the figure now comes from the 2026 Budget's Public Works Plan, not from a press note: the roads and highways line is ARS 351,027,482,808, 34.8% of the infrastructure plan, and at the September 2026 reference exchange rate that gives ~USD 233M, or ~USD 198M at 85% execution. ⭐ The plan also brings the breakdown, and that is the useful part: almost USD 39M is in-house production and equipment of the highways agency itself, so what is contractable to third parties is on the order of USD 195M. And two warnings, both read in the rule itself. Tolls are not about to be tendered: the one-year clock only starts once the Secretaría de Transporte approves an agreement that is not signed. And the external loan is not additive: its works were already named inside the 2026 line. ⛔ And a third, the one most likely to be copied wrong: the governor speaks of a «USD 1,000M-a-year road plan» unconf, and that figure does not correspond to any single instrument — look for it and it breaks up into five separate commitments, with different funding sources and different timeframes, some of which are already counted inside the budget line. It is not published as a plan, which is why the figure on this page comes from the budget and not from the announcement.

Coverage: the registry of Proveedores Neuquinos Certificados under Ley 3338, counted in full: 1,029 companies, with 290 in the «ingeniería y construcción de instalaciones» category · Sep 14, 2026 · not reviewed: that category is a coarse, self-declared label that does not tell an asphalt plant from a construction company; the provincial register of builders does not publish a list of names; and there is no public register of asphalt mixing plants in Neuquén, so nothing here states that one is missing

How to cite this figure: Despegue (2026). Public road works and toll road concessions · Neuquén. despegueargentina.com/en/neuquen/obra-vial-concesiones-peaje · terms of use

Neighbouring markets5 markets in the same group, from USD 0,5 to USD 1,050 M a year

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Ignacio Aredez
Analysis and curation: Ignacio Aredez
Head of Despegue
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  verif primary source · prob primary source pending · unconf a source said it · estim our own calculation · thesis our reading · the date belongs to the datum, at the precision its source allows
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